Finally, a post not about cooking …
I recently gave a 1.5-hours lecture to friends who were interested in Bayesian statistics, and the slides are here.
This lecture covers (very briefly) the following topics
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Bayes formula (i.e., conditional probablity)
- Example: breast cancer screening
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Bayesian parameter estimation (i.e., posterior distribution formula)
- Beta-Binomial updating, with a coin flipping example
- Example: Bayesian inference on the Rotten Tomato “freshness” of the Harry Potter movie series (This is what the above picture is about)
- MCMC (very high-level intro)
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Bayesian hypothesis testing